为什么auto.arima()给我错误:“'by'参数太小”

时间:2019-04-13 18:23:11

标签: r arima

我正在为零售商预测日内交易。我们想知道是否可以根据当天的销售量来预测一天的其余时间。我正在按时间序列处理大约3年的数据,这给了我大约26,000行数据。 我从来没有使用过如此大的时间序列,因此我的方法可能不可行。或可能没有使auto.arima()处理如此大的数据。

我尝试将数据限制为300行,但取得了一定的成功,但是没有发现任何适用于较大数据集的数据。根据我的发现,auto.arima()甚至没有by =的论点。

my_ts <- structure(c(0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 3, 
3, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 7, 7, 4, 1, 
1, 0, 3, 1, 0, 8, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 4, 
1, 9, 1, 6, 5, 1, 0, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 3, 1, 0, 3, 5, 2, 3, 4, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 1, 0, 0, 6, 0, 6, 0, 1, 2, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 3, 2, 4, 6, 5, 0, 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 3, 2, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 
3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 3, 3, 0, 1, 0, 
3, 1, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 4, 0, 
8, 2, 7, 4, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 
0, 0, 2, 0, 4, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 6, 2, 0, 1, 4, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, -1, 2, 3, 1, 0, 0, 2, 5, 7, 0, -1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, -1, 6, 1, 2, 2, 0, 0, 1, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 2, 3, 0, 2, 0, 
4, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 4, 0, 0, 
2, 2, 4, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 
2, 0, 2, 3, 6, 5, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 2, 2, 2, 1, 4, 3, 2, 5, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 3, 4, 0, 4, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 3, 2, 1, 4, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 3, 3, 0, 3, 4, 3, 0, 0, 2, 1, 1, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 5, 1, 1, 1, 0, 3, 
0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 1, 2, 
0, 1, 1, 3, 4, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, -1, 
1, 4, 1, 2, 9, 1, 4, 3, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 1, 4, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 3, 1, 2, 1, 1, 4, 0, 3, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2, 0, 1, 2, 2, 1, 6, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 2, 0, 1, 2, 1, 4, 0, 0, 5, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 3, 3, 
4, 4, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 
1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 
3, 0, 2, 8, 0, 2, 3, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 2, 0, 1, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 1, 2, 2, 3, 1, 4, 4, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 4, 1, 2, 0, 0, 5, 1, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 8, 0, 1, 1, 4, 0, 4, 3, 
2, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 6, 1, 0, 0, 0, 
3, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 6, 8, 
1, 2, 0, 4, 2, 4, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 
1, 6, 7, 0, 1, 0, 1, 2, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 5, 0, 2, 1, 4, 1, 1, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 4, 7, 5, 0, 7, 4, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 6, 0, 4, 6, 2, 1, 3, 5, 3, 3, 0, 0, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0, 4, 3, 0, 1, 1, 3, 
0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 6, 0, 0), index = structure(c(1435190400, 
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1438606800, 1438610400, 1438614000, 1438617600, 1438621200, 1438624800, 
1438628400, 1438632000, 1438635600, 1438639200, 1438642800, 1438646400, 
1438650000, 1438653600, 1438657200, 1438660800, 1438664400, 1438668000, 
1438671600, 1438675200, 1438678800, 1438682400, 1438686000, 1438689600, 
1438693200, 1438696800, 1438700400, 1438704000, 1438707600, 1438711200, 
1438714800, 1438718400, 1438722000, 1438725600, 1438729200, 1438732800, 
1438736400, 1438740000, 1438743600, 1438747200, 1438750800, 1438754400, 
1438758000, 1438761600, 1438765200, 1438768800, 1438772400, 1438776000, 
1438779600, 1438783200, 1438786800), class = c("POSIXct", "POSIXt"
), tzone = "UTC"), class = c("zooreg", "zoo"), frequency = 24)

fit1 <-auto.arima(my_ts,seasonal = TRUE)

我希望通过Arima来获得模型,但是我只得到错误:

  

“ seq.default(head(tt,1),tail(tt,1),deltat)中的错误:     “按”的论点太小了”

0 个答案:

没有答案