Question

我在R中有一个二项式GLM，有几个连续和分类的预测变量。

响应变量是“Presence”，它是二进制（0/1）。长度是一个连续变量，而所有其他变量都是绝对变量。

我试图为最终模型中的每个变量绘制预测，特别是“长度”，但我遇到了困难。

我的数据如下：

MyData<-structure(list(site = structure(c(3L, 1L, 3L, 2L, 1L, 4L, 3L, 
4L, 1L, 2L, 4L, 5L, 5L, 1L, 4L, 3L, 2L, 4L, 1L, 4L, 5L, 1L, 5L, 
4L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 5L, 5L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 5L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 4L, 4L, 
3L, 4L, 4L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 4L, 2L, 1L, 1L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 
2L, 1L, 4L, 2L, 5L, 5L, 3L, 3L, 2L, 5L, 2L, 4L, 5L, 2L, 4L, 4L, 
2L, 5L, 2L, 3L, 5L, 4L, 4L, 5L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 2L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 4L, 
3L, 1L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 5L, 1L, 3L, 2L, 3L, 2L, 3L, 2L, 1L, 1L, 
5L, 5L, 1L, 5L, 2L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 2L, 3L, 3L, 5L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 
5L, 1L, 5L, 2L, 3L, 4L, 5L, 5L, 1L, 4L, 2L, 5L, 3L, 2L, 5L, 4L, 
3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 2L, 4L, 5L, 1L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 5L, 3L, 
4L, 4L, 1L, 5L, 2L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 2L, 1L, 3L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 
5L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 5L, 1L, 
3L, 4L, 3L, 2L, 1L, 1L, 2L, 5L, 2L, 1L, 5L, 3L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 3L, 
3L, 3L, 3L, 5L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 2L, 
5L, 5L, 5L, 1L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 4L, 3L, 
1L, 1L, 5L, 3L, 1L), .Label = c("R1a", "R1b", "R2", "Za", "Zb"
), class = "factor"), species = structure(c(1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 
1L, 3L, 1L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 
1L, 1L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 4L, 
3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 
1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 
1L, 1L, 2L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 
3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 
1L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 2L, 4L, 
1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 
1L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 1L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 
1L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 
3L, 1L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 
1L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 2L, 3L, 4L, 3L, 
1L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 1L, 2L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 2L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 
1L, 3L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 
1L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 3L), .Label = c("Monogyna", "Other", 
"Prunus", "Rosa"), class = "factor"), aspect = structure(c(4L, 
4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 
3L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 2L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 
4L, 4L, 2L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 
3L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 1L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 1L, 
4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 
2L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 
4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 1L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 
3L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 5L, 2L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 4L, 3L, 
4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 1L, 
4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 
4L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 2L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 2L, 3L, 2L, 
4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 
4L, 2L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 
3L, 4L, 2L, 5L, 3L, 4L, 2L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 2L, 
4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 3L, 2L, 4L), .Label = c("East", 
"Flat", "North", "South", "West"), class = "factor"), length = c(260L, 
60L, 60L, 40L, 240L, 80L, 30L, 100L, 100L, 200L, 70L, 50L, 60L, 
35L, 120L, 60L, 500L, 40L, 20L, 70L, 250L, 80L, 50L, 130L, 350L, 
170L, 50L, 60L, 90L, 50L, 40L, 110L, 60L, 70L, 70L, 500L, 140L, 
50L, 50L, 360L, 50L, 150L, 60L, 270L, 280L, 130L, 130L, 50L, 
60L, 30L, 70L, 70L, 60L, 400L, 20L, 30L, 70L, 160L, 340L, 100L, 
210L, 60L, 70L, 130L, 50L, 40L, 50L, 80L, 390L, 40L, 110L, 130L, 
40L, 230L, 120L, 70L, 80L, 80L, 90L, 70L, 150L, 120L, 50L, 100L, 
120L, 10L, 40L, 80L, 180L, 160L, 200L, 40L, 70L, 90L, 50L, 40L, 
80L, 80L, 70L, 480L, 90L, 60L, 100L, 140L, 190L, 20L, 70L, 360L, 
70L, 130L, 60L, 50L, 320L, 210L, 130L, 180L, 90L, 20L, 300L, 
90L, 50L, 130L, 70L, 70L, 40L, 40L, 50L, 40L, 100L, 20L, 70L, 
100L, 340L, 70L, 110L, 40L, 230L, 200L, 80L, 35L, 110L, 200L, 
50L, 110L, 100L, 50L, 150L, 110L, 50L, 50L, 40L, 70L, 80L, 60L, 
100L, 90L, 40L, 300L, 140L, 180L, 140L, 40L, 190L, 100L, 170L, 
40L, 120L, 15L, 70L, 340L, 40L, 40L, 70L, 60L, 130L, 140L, 170L, 
120L, 90L, 130L, 210L, 50L, 180L, 120L, 100L, 50L, 90L, 70L, 
360L, 80L, 30L, 170L, 70L, 300L, 40L, 130L, 120L, 90L, 40L, 40L, 
140L, 80L, 400L, 70L, 80L, 60L, 420L, 320L, 200L, 40L, 50L, 70L, 
50L, 80L, 50L, 110L, 100L, 120L, 170L, 20L, 110L, 20L, 20L, 30L, 
30L, 90L, 150L, 80L, 40L, 90L, 300L, 30L, 70L, 50L, 90L, 200L
), sun = structure(c(1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 
3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 
3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 
3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 
3L, 2L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 1L, 
1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 2L, 3L, 3L, 2L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 
1L, 3L, 3L, 2L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 
2L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 2L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 
1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 2L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 
3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 
3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 
1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 
3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 2L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 2L, 
3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 2L, 1L, 
1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 3L, 1L, 1L, 3L, 3L, 2L, 
3L, 3L), .Label = c("Half", "Shade", "Sun"), class = "factor"), 
    leaf = structure(c(2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 
    2L, 4L, 4L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 
    2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 
    2L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 2L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 
    2L, 4L, 1L, 2L, 4L, 1L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 4L, 
    4L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 2L, 4L, 3L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 
    2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 1L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 
    1L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 1L, 
    1L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 
    4L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 
    2L, 2L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 4L, 1L, 1L, 
    2L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 
    1L, 1L, 2L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 1L, 2L, 
    4L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 4L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 
    2L, 2L, 4L, 1L, 1L, 2L, 1L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 1L, 4L, 1L, 1L, 2L, 
    1L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 4L, 2L, 
    2L), .Label = c("Large", "Medium", "Scarce", "Small"), class = "factor"), 
    Presence = c(0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 
    0L, 0L, 1L, 1L, 1L, 0L, 1L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 
    1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 
    1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 
    0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 
    0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 1L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 
    0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 1L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 
    1L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 
    0L, 1L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 1L, 1L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 
    0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 1L, 
    0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 
    1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 
    0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 
    0L, 1L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 
    0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 
    1L, 1L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 0L, 0L, 1L, 1L, 0L, 1L, 0L
    )), .Names = c("site", "species", "aspect", "length", "sun", 
"leaf", "Presence"), row.names = c(NA, 236L), class = "data.frame")

（请注意，这是一个简化的数据集，我已经删除了在模型选择期间删除的变量）

最佳模型是：

model <- glm(Presence ~ site + species + aspect + length + sun 
                + leaf, data=MyData, family=binomial)

我尝试了以下内容，但它也想要其他变量，所以我收到错误：

plot(MyData$length, MyData$Presence)
mydat1 <- data.frame(length = seq(from = 10, to = 500, by = 1)
pred1 <- predict(model, newdata = mydat1, type = "response")
lines(MyData$length, pred1)

所以我尝试指定所有变量，但是它只在存在数据点放置一条水平线（这意味着我需要指定所有可能的因子变量组合）：

plot(MyData$length, MyData$Presence)
mydat2 <- data.frame(length = seq(from = 10, to = 500, by = 1), 
                     site = "R1a", 
                     species = "Monogyna",
                     aspect = "Flat", 
                     sun = "Sun", 
                     leaf = "Scarce")
pred2 <- predict(model, newdata = mydat2, type = "response")
lines(MyData$length, pred2)

最后，我尝试了以下代码：

pred <- predict(model, type = "response")
par(mfrow=c(2,2))
for(i in names(MyData)){
   plot(MyData[,i],pred,xlab=i, ylab="Probability")
}

我对最后一个感到困惑，因为我无法获得曲线，而且输出给出了变量甚至不在最优模型中的预测值。

我想在这个模型下我应该期待的是一条正弦曲线。但那不是我得到的。

如何制作有意义的预测图？

非常感谢任何帮助。

Answer 1

我会使用with cte as ( select emp_id, mgr_id from emp_heirarchy where emp_id in (select MIN(lt.emp_id) from landing_table lt inner join emp_heirarchy eh on lt.emp_id = eh.emp_id group by mgr_id) union all select eh.emp_id, eh.mgr_id from emp_heirarchy eh inner join cte c on c.mgr_id = eh.emp_id ) select distinct * from cte order by mgr_id包为单个预测变量提供更简单的结果。方法如下：

effects

绘图很容易（虽然注意过度绘图）：

library(effects)
fit <- as.data.frame(effect('length', model, xlevels = 100))

或者我们可以使用plot(MyData$length, MyData$Presence) lines(fit$length, fit$fit)：

ggplot2

我们可以看到长度的影响不是很令人印象深刻。

如何绘制具有连续变量和分类变量的二项GLM的预测

1 个答案: