确定哪种类型的分发数据的最佳方法是什么?我正在查看每日数据,我希望能够运行一些场景和蒙特卡罗。我使用np.random.normal来做这个,但我不确定这些甚至是正态分布。
我的最终目标是通过获取每日数据并随机生成它来确定最可能的每月得分(w,y,x)。 samples_w仅用于w列,其他样本列用于y和x列。
Date samples_w w samples_y_x y x
7/1/2013 12432 71.93% 60 71.67% 13.33%
7/2/2013 9657 75.49% 84 69.64% 10.71%
7/3/2013 8473 75.88% 80 64.38% 20.00%
7/4/2013 4555 74.18% 71 66.20% 14.08%
7/5/2013 4276 74.16% 88 68.47% 9.09%
7/6/2013 9929 74.24% 61 61.07% 1.64%
7/7/2013 8444 74.11% 28 82.14% -10.71%
7/8/2013 8050 72.84% 71 71.48% 32.39%
7/9/2013 9806 74.22% 84 75.00% 11.90%
7/10/2013 9686 74.79% 53 68.87% -15.09%
7/11/2013 5665 75.20% 62 68.55% -14.52%
7/12/2013 3801 73.82% 84 70.54% 22.62%
7/13/2013 8459 73.50% 67 63.81% -1.49%
7/14/2013 7435 74.90% 49 66.84% 0.00%
7/15/2013 7570 74.86% 58 68.10% -1.72%
7/16/2013 8521 76.45% 54 66.67% 0.00%
7/17/2013 8733 76.73% 71 67.25% 12.68%
7/18/2013 6386 76.93% 84 69.05% 16.67%
7/19/2013 4786 75.70% 70 74.64% 17.14%
7/20/2013 8786 76.12% 80 66.56% 11.25%
7/21/2013 7785 73.65% 50 70.00% 8.00%
7/22/2013 7806 73.19% 67 78.54% 37.31%
7/23/2013 9560 76.14% 78 72.76% 3.85%
7/24/2013 10122 75.22% 66 71.97% 4.55%
7/25/2013 5054 74.79% 93 62.63% 8.60%
7/26/2013 4086 73.18% 104 71.63% 13.46%
7/27/2013 11949 68.04% 69 74.64% 17.39%
7/28/2013 10818 69.31% 44 67.05% 9.09%
7/29/2013 10217 70.14% 56 76.79% 30.36%
7/30/2013 10108 72.96% 93 66.40% 8.60%
7/31/2013 10250 75.67% 84 67.11% 36.90%
8/1/2013 5933 74.63% 52 64.42% 23.08%
8/2/2013 4409 74.60% 93 60.22% -1.08%
8/3/2013 8815 74.54% 69 68.48% 21.74%
8/4/2013 8875 73.61% 53 55.66% 1.89%
8/5/2013 9645 72.92% 89 60.96% -1.12%
8/6/2013 10284 74.73% 84 66.67% -5.95%
8/7/2013 10524 75.20% 78 66.99% 8.97%
8/8/2013 5272 75.63% 85 72.94% 24.71%
8/9/2013 3846 76.50% 102 67.77% 0.98%
8/10/2013 8682 73.21% 76 65.13% 18.42%
8/11/2013 9432 74.55% 62 72.18% 19.35%
8/12/2013 10168 75.45% 42 51.49% 2.38%