Question

经过几次阅读后，我意识到我的项目需要使用NAR，因为我正在使用历史值进行预测。我上个月有月度数据。＆安培;我需要预测未来12个月。

T = tonndata(Target_Set1,false,false);
% Create a Nonlinear Autoregressive Network
feedbackDelays = 1:2;
hiddenLayerSize = 2;
net = narnet(feedbackDelays,hiddenLayerSize);
% Prepare the Data for Training and Simulation
% The function PREPARETS prepares timeseries data for a particular network,
% shifting time by the minimum amount to fill input states and layer states.
% Using PREPARETS allows you to keep your original time series data unchanged, while
% easily customizing it for networks with differing numbers of delays, with
% open loop or closed loop feedback modes.
[x,xi,ai,t] = preparets(net,{},{},T);
% Setup Division of Data for Training, Validation, Testing
net.divideParam.trainRatio = 70/100;
net.divideParam.valRatio = 15/100;
net.divideParam.testRatio = 15/100;
% Train the Network
[net,tr] = train(net,x,t,xi,ai);
% Test the Network
y = net(x,xi,ai);
e = gsubtract(t,y);
performance = perform(net,t,y)
% View the Network
view(net)
% Plots
% Uncomment these lines to enable various plots.
%figure, plotperform(tr)
%figure, plottrainstate(tr)
%figure, plotresponse(t,y)
%figure, ploterrcorr(e)
%figure, plotinerrcorr(x,e)
% Closed Loop Network
% Use this network to do multi-step prediction.
% The function CLOSELOOP replaces the feedback input with a direct
% connection from the outout layer.
netc = closeloop(net);
[xc,xic,aic,tc] = preparets(netc,{},{},T);
yc = netc(xc,xic,aic);
perfc = perform(net,tc,yc)
% Step-Ahead Prediction Network
% For some applications it helps to get the prediction a timestep early.
% The original network returns predicted y(t+1) at the same time it is given y(t+1).
% For some applications such as decision making, it would help to have predicted
% y(t+1) once y(t) is available, but before the actual y(t+1) occurs.
% The network can be made to return its output a timestep early by removing one delay
% so that its minimal tap delay is now 0 instead of 1.  The new network returns the
% same outputs as the original network, but outputs are shifted left one timestep.
nets = removedelay(net);
[xs,xis,ais,ts] = preparets(nets,{},{},T);
ys = nets(xs,xis,ais);
stepAheadPerformance = perform(net,ts,ys)

如何在训练和验证后绘制预测值。从我见过的NARXNET示例中，他们通常会使用下面的代码。

图（[cell2mat（T），nan（1，N）; nan（1，length（T）），cell2mat（yPred）;
nan（1，length（T）），cell2mat（targetSeriesVal）]'）图例（'原文目标'，'网络预测'，'预期产出'）;

提前致谢。

Answer 1

您必须使用高级脚本生成代码以预测未来数据

如何在matlab中绘制NAR预测值

1 个答案: