我在for循环中使用append时遇到了麻烦。下面的for循环的目标是采用ModelCast $ mean并在其上追加3个预测$ mean。所以在结束时长度(append_cast)= 40.相反,我得到一个长度(append_cast)= 20.我认为问题是append只运行一次。
for循环之外的早期代码训练并预测模型。 for循环中的其余代码是使该模型适合3个新的数据块。
这是受Rob Hyndman博客文章的启发: http://robjhyndman.com/hyndsight/rolling-forecasts/
特别是关于多步预测的部分,无需重新估算
非常感谢任何提示。
代码:
library("forecast")
library("tseries")
library("sqldf")
library("manipulate")
library("caret")
library("qdapTools")
library("RODBC")
library("dplyr")
library("yts")
##Partitioning Time Series
EndLearn1<-length(tsData-3*10)
data_tsLearn1 <-tsData[1:EndLearn1]
##Fit Model
fit_Model <- auto.arima(data_tsLearn1)
##Forecast Model 1st time
ModelCast<-forecast(fit_Model, h=10)
for(i in 1:3)
{
startLearn2<-1+i*10
EndLearn2<-EndLearn1+i*10
y <- tsData[startLearn2:EndLearn2]
fit_new <- Arima(y, model=fit_Model )
append_cast <- append(ModelCast$mean,forecast(fit_new, h=10)$mean, after=i*10) ## Only seems to append one forecast instead of 3
}
Update: The change to the code below works
append_cast <- ts()
for(i in 1:3)
{
startLearn2<-1+i*10
EndLearn2<-EndLearn1+i*10-1
y <- tsData[startLearn2:EndLearn2]
fit_new <- Arima(y, model=fit_Model )
append_cast <- append(append_cast, forecast(fit_new, h=10)$mean, after=i*10)
append_final<-ts(append(ModelCast$mean,append_cast[2:length(append_cast)])) ## First value in append_cast is na because ts() starts that way
}
Data:
dput(tsData[1:300])
c(7.6, 0.6, 2.2, 1.8, NA, 6.6, 12.8, 0.2, 5.6, 2, NA, 0.4, NA,
1.6, 0.8, 2, 0.4, NA, NA, 2, 4.8, NA, 0.2, NA, NA, NA, NA, 0.2,
0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, NA, 0.4, 0.8, 0.6, 20, 27.4, 0.4, 29.2, 30.4,
0.2, 42.2, NA, 0.8, 0.2, 2, 32.2, 2.4, 7, 2.2, 30.8, 26.6, 15.2,
12, 10.2, 27, 15.8, 22.2, 20, 23.8, 1, 18.2, 6, 23, 16.2, 17,
1.8, 17.8, 8.8, 0.2, 7.8, 2.6, 0.2, 17.8, 2.4, 15.4, 3.2, 8,
12.4, 3.2, NA, 3.2, 2.2, 5.6, NA, 0.4, 2.6, 1.8, 2.4, NA, 2.2,
NA, 1.6, NA, NA, NA, 1.4, 1.8, 0.2, NA, 1.8, NA, 1.4, 1.6, 5,
0.2, NA, NA, 1.4, 0.4, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, 2.8,
3, 0.2, 11.4, 13.2, 15, 13.2, 5.8, 6.8, 24.6, 17, 21.6, 5, 11.4,
23, 9.2, 7.2, 12, 31.6, 43, 1.2, 38.2, 38.4, 15.2, 43.6, 29.6,
20, 3.8, 23, 3.2, 15.4, 14.6, 17.4, 27.6, 24, 27.8, 35.4, 2.4,
12.4, 36, NA, 0.2, 15.6, 0.4, 20.8, 3.4, 22.8, 23.8, 25.6, 34,
NA, 0.6, 5.6, 1.8, NA, NA, 28.6, NA, NA, 40.4, NA, 16.2, 13,
4, NA, NA, 1.6, 1.2, 6, NA, 1.6, 1.2, NA, 1.8, NA, NA, 0.4, NA,
NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, 0.4, NA, NA, 0.8, 3.4,
3.2, 3.2, 3.8, 4.4, 2.8, 5.2, 11, 10.8, 0.2, 1.8, 2.4, 4.4, 2,
1.2, 1.8, 4.6, 6, 5, 8.6, 10.6, 10.4, 10, 7.2, 7.6, 0.2, 17,
3, 2.6, 1.4, 2.8, 0.2, NA, 7.4, 17.4, 7.4, 0.6, NA, 5.2, 1.6,
NA, 7.2, 2.6, 7.2, 7.6, 15, 21.8, NA, 2, NA, 10.4, 4, 2.4, 4.8,
1.4, NA, NA, 0.6, NA, 1.2, 0.2, NA, 1.4, 3, 0.4, 1, NA, 1.6,
38.8, NA, NA, NA, 0.2, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, NA, 0.2, 1.8, 2.8,
4.2, 1.6, 7.4, 2, 6, 8)
答案 0 :(得分:1)
Link Text
函数希望您将要附加的内容传递给以及要添加到其中的内容。你只是通过了后者。我怀疑这一点(不要告诉任何人)阅读文档以追加。
您需要的其他事情是初始化向量append
,以便它可以在第一个循环中追加到那里。并且您需要将要附加的值包装到append_Cast
包装器中,以便它们成为矢量。像这样:
c()